TERAFAB Project Launches in 3 DAYS 🚀 WHY I'M BUYING TESLA

Kind: captions Language: en Today we're going to talk about the latest Tesla updates. We're going to do a technical analysis of the charts. And then I'm going to show you proof that big money has been quietly accumulating Tesla [music] positions for at least a week now. And that is through all the chaos that we have been through. So, as you guys probably know, Tesla is no longer playing the EV game. They're focused more now on building the entire AI hardware empire from the ground up. And the moves dropping this week prove that completely. And while the bears are screaming about another year of sliding deliveries, Elon Musk just lit the fuse on what could be Tesla's most ambitious project yet. On March 14th, he dropped this surprise. Terraab project launches in 7 days. Now, Terra Fab isn't some small upgrade. This is Tesla going fullon vertical integration into semiconductor manufacturing. We're talking about a gigantic [music] in-house AI chip fabrication facility, combining logic, memory, and advanced [music] packaging all under one roof. And we're talking a potential 20 to30 billion investment just to stop begging Nvidia and TSMC for their chips. And Musk has recently been quite loud about how external foundaries simply can't supply the insane volume that Tesla needs for millions of full self-driving equipped cars, thousands of Optimus bots, and massive dojo training clusters. So what does this actually mean for the big picture? What it means is total control over AI hardware in the ecosystem, faster iteration on nextg chips, lower costs longterm, and the ability to scale robo taxi fleets and humanoid robots without waiting in line for a supplier to provide those chips. And the chatter on X right now is going wild saying that this creates a massive moat that turns every park Tesla into a distributed supercomputer network. And the bears will fire back and say Tesla has zero semiconductor fab experience and the 4680 ramp was painful enough. This could burn billions while car sales stay choppy. And both sides are right [music] to varying degrees. And that's what makes this fascinating. And uh I might be a bit opinionated here because I think that Musk's track record of cracking impossible manufacturing almost always pays off. But yeah, execution risk is real and timelines have slipped before. Just yesterday, the US government confirmed another monster move. Tesla locked in a massive $4.3 billion deal with LG energy solution for US-made LFP batteries at a Michigan plant and these are headed for mega pack 3 energy storage systems and the supply is probably going to kick off in 2027. It's a direct hedge against China tariffs and supply chain drama while the energy business quietly explodes and funds the AI bets. Meanwhile, Tesla quietly got FTC clearance to convert its roughly $2 billion XAI investment into actual ownership in SpaceX. So, for short-term catalysts, Terrafab fires up in 4 days and you have energy storage ramping up hard. You also have China sales beginning to rebound. And of course, any FSD or robo taxi regulatory green lights will be seriously good for the company. And the headwinds are still there, of course, a potential third straight year of flat or down deliveries. Enormous capex ahead and autonomy approval delays that could drag out. So when you connect the dots, legacy auto is dying slowly, but Tesla is trying to become the big supplier for the entire physical AI revolution. And that's the story you [music] just can't ignore. Now, let's take a look at the charts and then we're going to look at the options flow. Quick reminder, this is not financial advice, so please do your own research. All right, looking at the charts. First off, let's point out where the floor is, and that's down here at about 384. We have tagged this level once, twice, three, four, five times. And so far, it has been holding. And even though this looks really bad, it looks like it's in a very strong downtrend. However, if you put down a trend line, you'll see what's really happening here. We have broken out of the trend line and you could also put down a second one down here and you'll see exactly where we are. So, we are stuck in this pocket right here. However, when you look at it this way, we [music] have tried to break out once here and then we had a second attempt down here and it's still pushing into it. The only time I would say that this uh this breakout is off is if we roll down through this zone here. So if we break down below 385 383 I would say it's game over. It's going much lower. But what I'm seeing now to be honest is that we have a definitive floor for the meantime. Of course, anything can change if you know something geopolitical pops up or who knows what kind of tweet will go out and flip the world upside down again. Um, that being said, I have already opened up a starter position on Tesla and it was on this first breakout here which failed. It pulled back a couple percent. So, I'm I'm a little bit down. However, what I'm waiting for is the definitive breakout. And that definitive breakout could happen tomorrow once we get through that line. And when that happens, I will most likely add [music] in to my Tesla position. Now, two things we're going to discuss here. Number one, what are my price targets here and how did I reach those price targets? And the second thing, I'm going to show you what's happening on the tape on the options side. So you can see that institutions aka smart money [music] is buying this up. Now talking about targets, there's one [music] way the straightforward way to look at it is our major resistance is likely at this point of control. This is where we had the most volume here on trading and when you are above it, it acts as support. When you are below it, it acts as resistance. You'll see here that it held up here. here it acted as a support for this candle. This would be the easiest target for us to hit in my opinion. And then after that, if we can clear that level, if we can get a break, then we're going to likely fill the gap up here to 473. All right. Now, switching over to the options flow. This is what I was looking at earlier. We're going to select the past [music] week. So, from the 10th to the 17th, and we're going to put in Tesla. What I want to see is over the past seven days, how much activity has been happening behind the scenes. And you hit the search button, you'll see some mixed action, some calls and some puts. However, when you look up at the call flow, it's 64% to 35%. However, that's not the full story. If you flip the premium sorting from highest to lowest, hello, it's all green up here. And you'll see lots of big transactions. 6.6 million, 3.2 million. Some of these coming in uh sweeps for the 420 and the 410. I believe I pointed these out uh maybe a couple days ago. And what this tells us is that it's unlikely that the average retail player will buy $6.6 million of leverage on Tesla unless they're like a really super Tesla bull. But I hope you guys got the point here. This is what's happening behind the scenes. Also, let's switch over to the gamma exposure. It's likely going to be pretty thin because we have uh Jerome Powell speaking tomorrow. So, we probably won't have much volume. Let's look at the puts here. This is a representation of where the money is stacking on which uh strikes. So, we have a kind of like even or like choppy distribution here, but you go up and look at that. Uh yeah, we definitely have more in the way of calls and uh look how heavily it's stacking. So our call wall is at 410. So think of it this way. Once we break 410, this call wall will shift upwards and that will trigger a reaction to the upside. And uh switching back to the chart, I just want to give you [music] context here. 410 is right about there. And that is exactly where this second trend line is. So once you break that 410, that's where we're going to shoot up here to about 440. I hope you guys like this video. Let me know down in the comments if you want me to [music] do a deep dive on any particular Tesla topic. Also, if you're new here, I break the market down almost every single day the market is open [music] and I occasionally do the Tesla video. I'm thinking of making it a weekly thing at minimum. Let me know down in the comments what you guys want. Take care, guys, and I will update you again after tomorrow's [music] close. Peace.